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Structural and dynamic analysis of budget deficit, public debt and expenses for its servicing, debt sustainability assessment

Abstract

Given the current budget deficit and the growth of public debt in many countries, it is impossible to ensure the effective management of public finances without analyzing the values of macroeconomic indicators of public debt and assessing the debt sustainability of states. The article presents a structural and dynamic analysis of the budget deficit and an assessment of the public debt of Russia, Germany, Greece, Italy, France and Latvia. Attention is paid to generalization of data and development on this basis of the author’s methodology for assessing the debt sustainability of states, providing a unified approach and obtaining the most comparable result.

About the Authors

N. V. Vinogradov
Financial University under the Goverment of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation


I. Y. Fedorova
Financial University under the Goverment of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation


References

1. Ермакова Е.А. Методология оценки состояния и устойчивости государственных финансов // Финансы и кредит. 2013. № 27 (315). С. 13-18.

2. Остапченко Л.А., Хлестов В.В., Трубкин Н.В. Проблема государственного долга в развитых странах // Инновационная наука. 2015. № 6-1. С. 128-131.

3. Официальный сайт Министерства финансов РФ http://www.minfin.ru.

4. World Economic Outlook Database // International Monetary Fund, 2017, 21 October [Электронный ресурс]. URL: http://www.imf.org.

5. European Central Bank - 2017 [Электронный ресурс]. URL: http://www.ecb.europa.eu.


Review

For citations:


Vinogradov N.V., Fedorova I.Y. Structural and dynamic analysis of budget deficit, public debt and expenses for its servicing, debt sustainability assessment. Scientific notes of the Russian academy of entrepreneurship. 2018;17(1):26-32. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 2073-6258 (Print)